Introduction
Following what was an extremely difficult year for your Company
in 2002, the year under review has seen an improvement in the Company’s
asset value and the prices at which our securities trade. The Company
has also put in place new management arrangements, as announced
on 3 April 2003.
As at the year end the net asset value of an Ordinary share was
48.3p. This represents an increase of 33.1% over the asset value
at 31 December 2002.
The Company’s assets at the year end were primarily properties
based in Ireland and the UK. The Irish property portfolio comprised
properties with a total value of €506.3 million (31 December
2002 – €454.6 million) and the UK and offshore property
portfolio comprised properties with an aggregate value of £107.5
million after disposals of £20.0 million (31 December 2002
– £128.6 million). The Company’s income portfolio
was valued at £27.6 million (31 December 2002 – £25.6
million).
Irish Economic Overview
The year began with heightened levels of uncertainty
in the global economy stimulated amongst other things by the imminent
war on Iraq and the outbreak of the SARS virus in
Asia. However, by the end of the first quarter, confidence levels
began to improve setting the scene for a strong global recovery.
This was reflected by corresponding evidence of recovery and growth
in the Irish economy, which strengthened during the year to reach
3.3% in real GNP terms. This compares favourably to a growth of
0.1% in 2002. It is perceived by the European Commission that while
the overall picture for Europe remains sluggish (0.4% growth in
2003) the Irish economy will continue to outperform the rest of
the EU. The Commission predicts that GDP growth for Ireland will
be 3.7% in 2004 (EU average is 2.4%). As before property will be
one of the main beneficiaries of a global economic recovery.
The pace of consumer price inflation slowed during
the course of the year to 2.2% by November 2003. This compares with
an inflation rate of 4.6% in 2002. This reduction was primarily
due to the appreciation of the Euro while other contributing factors
include the reduction in interest rates since the beginning of the
year as well as greater competition in the retail sector.
The pick-up in economic activity throughout 2003
has helped avert an anticipated reduction in employment. While overall
employment grew in the first three quarters of the year the annual
unemployment rate for 2003 is still expected to have risen, albeit
moderately, to an average of 4.8% (more than half the Euro area
average of 9%). The Economic and Social Research Institute expect
the unemployment rate to rise slightly to 5.0% in 2004 as the economy
underperforms relative to its potential.
Irish Property Market
We saw a sustained recovery in the performance of the Irish property
market in the year and the prospects for the Irish commercial property
market in 2004 are positive. The Society of Chartered Surveyors/Investment
Property Databank (SCS/IPD) Index indicates an improved market return
of 12.7% over the 12 months to December 2003. This compares with
a return of just 2.2% on the SCS/IPD Index in 2002.
The Dublin office market experienced a challenging year in 2003
with vacancy rates reaching a high of 17.2%. The majority of available
accommodation, 67%, is located in the suburbs. However, with the
recovery of the global and domestic economy expected to gain momentum
during 2004 the office market is showing signs of recovery as economic
growth is strengthened and confidence levels are boosted. The recovery
will be gradual, as the oversupply of office accommodation will
take some time to be absorbed. Construction activity slowed in response
to the reduced levels of demand. Despite the continued level of
supply, headline rental levels in the office market have remained
stable
during the year, rents in the region of e440 per sq. m. are being
achieved for third generation accommodation in prime locations where
demand remains strong, while those for secondhand properties are
slightly lower from e335 to e370 per sq. m.
The total quantity of office accommodation taken up during 2003
was 123,600 sq. m. (1.33 million sq. ft.). Despite the slowdown
in activity during the year demand
for accommodation in the prime locations of the city remained relatively
robust comprising 39% of all space taken up. The suburbs also witnessed
a relatively large
share of take up during the year at 42% although a significant proportion
of this space was located in the South in areas adjacent to transport
facilities. In particular 14% of all accommodation taken up during
the year was located in Leopardstown/Sandyford, an area which will
be even more enhanced by the completion of the LUAS (light railway)
and the M50 Motorway further highlighting the importance of infrastructure
and public transport in location decisions.
The retail market remained the most buoyant commercial sector in
2003 achieving record rents, which were underpinned by strong demand
from both national and international retailers. Retail looks set
to lead the way again in 2004 with continued rental growth across
almost the entire market.
No new shopping centre came to the market in Dublin in
2003, however 2004 will see the opening of the extension to the
Blanchardstown shopping centre, The Moore Street Plaza on the north
side of the city centre and Dundrum town centre is due to open in
Spring 2005.
Low interest rates, strong demand and a lack of opportunities are
expected to continue underpinning confidence levels in the market
over the coming year.
Activity levels in the industrial market improved slightly in 2003.
There is continuing strong demand in the housing sector especially
in the first time buyer category. There was a 10% average growth
in the price of new homes in 2003.
Private investors continue to be the main buyers in the Irish market.
It is evident that strengthening yields in the retail and office
sectors and low interest rates, albeit now trending upwards, continue
to provide strong support for the market.
Irish Property Portfolio
REO’s Irish portfolio
continues to show good performance with the Investment portfolio
recording healthy capital appreciation and continued high occupancy
levels.
Particular highlights during the year were the completion of the
office block on Mespil Road, Dublin 4 comprising over 100,000 sq.
ft. (9,300 sq. m.) and let to Bank of Ireland Asset Management,
the successful letting of 64,000 sq. ft. (5,900 sq. m.) of office
space in
Central Park to Merrill Lynch and 25,000 sq. ft. (2,300 sq. m.)
in the same scheme to ABN Amro. In total, new rental income of circa
A7 million p.a. was generated from these lettings.
Rent reviews are continuing
to produce rental growth throughout the portfolio with the retail
properties showing particularly strong performance. The rent review
of the Marks & Spencer store in Cork produced growth of 108%
while rent reviews of units in Stillorgan Shopping Centre continue
to produce growth of 80% plus in passing rents.
In total, the Company’s
rent roll from its Irish Investment Property Portfolio grew by 43%
during the year. Transactions undertaken during the year included
the acquisition of strategic sites in Cabinteely, south County Dublin
while disposals occurred in respect of small properties in Stillorgan
and in College Green, Dublin 2.
UK Property Portfolio
The strength of the property
investment market that was seen in 2002 continued during 2003. With
interest rates remaining at historically low levels (albeit the
trend beginning to turn upwards), and alternative investment classes
failing to attract certain classes of investor (particularly those
looking for higher income yields), appetite from investors at all
levels in the market remained strong. 2002 was characterised by
the relative dominance of private and overseas investors in the
UK market, however 2003 saw the gradual return of the UK institutions
and property companies.
In light of the strength
of demand, the continued relative lack of supply of suitable investment
product contributed to sustained and in some sectors increasing
values, in spite of some continued uncertainty in the occupier markets.
The Investment Property
Database Monthly Index (reflecting a portfolio of properties not
dissimilar to those held in the UK by the Company) showed a total
return of 11.3% for the calendar year 2003. The best performing
sector was retail, where strong retail sales continued to push up
rental values in the best locations. Being the only sector where
rents were growing (industrial rents remained broadly unchanged
over the year, and office rents fell on average by 7%) investor
demand focused on the sector reducing investment yields.
In spite of falling rental
values across the office sectors as a whole, rental increases have
been agreed during the year on four office buildings within your
portfolio.
Following the completion
of a number of property level issue within the portfolio during
the early part of 2003, the Company took the decision to sell a
number of properties into the strong investment market. The success
of the 16 property sales completed during 2003 reflected that strength
in the market, where the prices achieved were in aggregate 10% ahead
of valuations.
The remaining portfolio,
valued at in excess of £107 million as at December 2003 is
currently producing an income return of 8.4% p.a.
The offshore elements
of the UK portfolio, office investments in Guernsey and the Isle
of Man, are well let to strong covenants, and as such provide the
Company with well secured cashflow.
There are seven rent
reviews dating from 2003 that have yet to be agreed, where we are
hopeful of achieving uplifts during 2004, as well as five rent reviews
that fall due in 2004. A number of opportunities are being pursued
across the portfolio with a view to both improving the income and
underlying values within the portfolio, and reducing the risk of
vacancies occurring.
Since the year end markets
have continued to be strong in certain sectors. We are pleased to
announce the sale of a further 19 UK properties for a sum of £36
million, representing an uplift of 14% over the valuations as at
31 December 2003. Following this disposal REO will hold UK properties
valued at £73.2 million as at the year end.
Income Portfolio
Following very difficult
markets in 2002, high yield bonds performed strongly in 2003. Our
portfolio showed good returns. To capitalise on this performance
we have sold substantially all the Company’s bond investments
since the year end.
While equity markets
also performed well in 2003, many of our holdings in split capital
trusts remain of little value.
Financing
During the year we undertook
a review of debt financing of the property assets held in Castle
Market Holdings. As a result €154.2 million of debt was refinanced
from new facilities totalling €229.4 million. €205.0
million of the new debt is fixed with a weighted average interest
rate of 5.96% and is repayable on dates between June 2012 and November
2013. The excess €75.2 million cash from this refinancing
will be put to funding development activity and for further investment.
A further £34.5 million was drawn down during the year from
a facility secured on the office block on Mespil Road let to Bank
of Ireland in connection with the completion of that development.
At the end of the year
Castle Market Holdings had total bank borrowings of €351.8
million.
In the UK, borrowings
of £69 million at the last year end were refinanced from a
new £70.0 million term loan and £24.5 million revolving
credit facility. Following sales of properties referred to above
£75.0 million of borrowings were outstanding at 31 December
2003.
Since the end of the
year the Company has repaid the outstanding balance of e15 million
under the Income Portfolio facility which has now been cancelled.
At the same time the Company broke the interest rate swap that had
been taken out at launch to fix the interest rate payable on the
income portfolio facility. The repayment and the break costs were
funded from sales of bond investments referred to above.
During the year the Company
purchased 20.81 million Ordinary shares, 2.06 million Zero Dividend
Preference (ZDP) shares and £23.20 million nominal of Convertible
Loan Stock. The Company will be seeking to renew at the AGM the
authority to repurchase all the Company’s ZDP shares.
Case Against Aberdeen
As stated in the annual report last year, your Directors
intend to seek compensation from the Company’s former manager
Aberdeen Asset Managers Jersey Limited and its associated companies
for those losses sustained in the income portfolio. A committee
comprising directors of the Company has been appointed and is working
with our legal advisers in preparing our case. We are delighted
that the Rt Hon. Lord Browne-Wilkinson has agreed to act as independent
chairman of that committee.
Lord Browne-Wilkinson has been a Supreme Court judge
since 1977. He was promoted to the Court of Appeal in 1983 and appointed
Vice-Chancellor (judge responsible for the Chancery Division of
the High Court) in 1985. In 1991 he became a Law Lord and in 1998
was appointed Senior Law Lord (the UK’s most senior permanent
judicial position). Lord Browne-Wilkinson retired as Senior Law
Lord in 2000 but continues to act as an arbitrator.
Communication
As the contribution of the securities portfolio to
investors’ total returns have diminished, the Board has reviewed
the practice of publishing the Company’s NAV on a weekly basis
given that our total assets consists almost entirely of the property
portfolio and is only revalued every six months.
We intend in future to cease publishing weekly NAVs,
believing that this conveys relatively little useful information
to the market. In order to improve the market’s understanding
of your Company we intend to increase the frequency of announcements
of changes and developments within the Company. In addition we are
pleased to announce the launch of a website providing details of
the Company’s activities at www.realestateopportunities.biz.
Outlook
The Board believes that prospects for capital growth
in the Company’s existing assets are greatest in some of the
assets we have in Ireland. Further investment will, in many cases,
be required to realise this value. The Board aims to deliver the
greatest possible value to shareholders and will continue to take
advantage of market opportunities to realise assets at favourable
prices to fund investment for future capital growth.
The Directors believe the Company is well positioned
to benefit from the expected economic growth in Ireland and that
the quality of our rental covenants underpins current asset valuations.
RYF Horney
Chairman
4 May 2004
|